Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kjelsås · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-1 (8%), 2-1 (8%), 4-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kjelsås 2-0 Rana
Original prediction
Kjelsås
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 06:26 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.31 | 69.5% | 69.3% | -0.1 pts |
| Draw | 5.13 | 17.7% | 15.4% | -2.3 pts |
| Away | 7.07 | 12.8% | 15.3% | 2.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.31 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–18%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.4–17%
Predicted outcome
Kjelsås
Probability
69.3%
Model confidence
69.3%
Kjelsås has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
KjelsåsWDLLW
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
RanaWLWLL
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
KjelsåsRana
77.3Attack57.6
51.5Defence40.9
71.2Form45.5
66.5Power49.9
3.21xG1.50