Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kjelsås · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 4-0 (10%), 3-0 (10%), 4-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kjelsås 2-2 Follo
Original prediction
Kjelsås
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:57 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.19 | 76.3% | 76.4% | 0.1 pts |
| Draw | 6.28 | 14.4% | 13.4% | -1.0 pts |
| Away | 9.74 | 9.3% | 10.2% | 0.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 5.28 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.4–010%
- 2.3–010%
- 3.4–19%
Predicted outcome
Kjelsås
Probability
76.4%
Model confidence
76.4%
Kjelsås has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
KjelsåsLLWLW
GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
FolloLLWLD
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
KjelsåsFollo
78.3Attack38.3
51.7Defence28.3
71.7Form21.7
66.8Power32.5
4.17xG0.95