Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Arendal · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Kjelsås are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.00 conceded, while Arendal are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Arendal hold a 7.8-point power-rating edge (49.3 v 57.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.7% in the 2. Division - Group 1, while Arendal holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Arendal
Probability
43.7%
Model confidence
43.7%
Arendal has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 0 · avg 1.80/0.00
GF 15 · GA 7 · avg 3.00/1.40