Kiyovu Sportsvs
Bugesera
COMPLETEDRwanda · National Soccer League · 9/15/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kiyovu Sports · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Kiyovu Sports 0-0 Bugesera, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Kiyovu Sports 1-0 Bugesera
Original prediction
Kiyovu Sports
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.78 | 50.0% | 39.9% | -10.1 pts |
| Draw | 2.97 | 29.9% | 31.0% | 1.1 pts |
| Away | 4.40 | 20.2% | 29.2% | 9.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.78 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.1 pts
Projected Score
Kiyovu Sports 0–0 Bugesera
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Kiyovu Sports
Probability
39.9%
Model confidence
39.9%
Kiyovu Sports has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 0 · GA 1 · avg 0.00/1.00
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00