Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Grazer AK · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 1-1 (8%), 2-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kitzbühel 0-2 Grazer AK
Original prediction
Grazer AK
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:19 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 7.01 | 13.2% | 33.1% | 20.0 pts |
| Draw | 6.60 | 14.0% | 22.6% | 8.6 pts |
| Away | 1.27 | 72.9% | 44.2% | -28.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.27 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-28.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–18%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.2–28%
Predicted outcome
Grazer AK
Probability
44.2%
Model confidence
44.2%
Grazer AK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
KitzbühelLWWLW
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Grazer AKDLLWL
GF 2 · GA 13 · avg 0.40/2.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
KitzbühelGrazer AK
100.0Attack100.0
66.7Defence100.0
100.0Form100.0
88.7Power97.0
2.21xG1.96