Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kitchee · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
Kitchee are 2W-0D-2L in their last 4 (LLWW), averaging 3.25 scored and 1.50 conceded, while Rangers are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (LWL), averaging 3.33 scored and 1.67 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 7 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Kitchee hold a 31.6-point power-rating edge (78.5 v 46.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 79.0% in the Premier League, while Kitchee holds the strongest overall chance at 79% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Kitchee
Probability
79.0%
Model confidence
79.0%
Kitchee has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 3.25/1.50
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 3.33/1.67