Kitcheevs
Gangwon FC
COMPLETEDWorld · AFC Champions League Two · 9/17/2026, 12:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kitchee · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kitchee 0-0 Gangwon FC
Original prediction
Kitchee
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 07:57 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.46 | 36.5% | 38.3% | 1.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.20 | 28.0% | 27.7% | -0.3 pts |
| Away | 2.53 | 35.5% | 33.9% | -1.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.20 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Kitchee
Probability
38.3%
Model confidence
38.3%
Kitchee has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 4 · avg 2.80/0.80
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00