Kitcheevs
Eastern District
COMPLETEDHong-Kong · Premier League · 9/6/2026, 10:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kitchee · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (8%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kitchee 4-1 Eastern District
Original prediction
Kitchee
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.41 | 64.6% | 43.2% | -21.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.45 | 20.4% | 25.3% | 4.8 pts |
| Away | 6.04 | 15.0% | 31.5% | 16.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.41 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-21.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Kitchee
Probability
43.2%
Model confidence
43.2%
Kitchee has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60