Kitakyushuvs
Kochi United
COMPLETEDJapan · J3 League · 10/3/2026, 8:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kitakyushu · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kitakyushu 2-0 Kochi United
Original prediction
Kitakyushu
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 20:45 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.18 | 41.1% | 45.7% | 4.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.19 | 28.0% | 27.1% | -0.9 pts |
| Away | 2.89 | 30.9% | 27.2% | -3.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.18 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Kitakyushu
Probability
45.7%
Model confidence
45.7%
Kitakyushu has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40
GF 1 · GA 9 · avg 0.20/1.80