GGOALVIO

Japan · J3 League · 3/12/2023, 5:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Kitakyushu are 0W-1D-0L in their last 1 (D), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Kamatamare Sanuki are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 2 games and 0 passed 2.5 goals, and Kamatamare Sanuki hold a 19.5-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.6% in the J3 League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

35.6%

Model confidence

35.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

KitakyushuD

GF 1 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 0/1
Kamatamare SanukiW

GF 1 · GA 0 · avg 1.00/0.00

BTTS 0/1O2.5 0/1
KitakyushuKamatamare Sanuki
0.0Attack33.3
100.0Defence83.3
33.3Form66.7
45.3Power64.8
1.10xG1.11
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