Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Saturday, 18 July 2026Last updated 10:14
Kisvarda FC

Kisvarda FC

Home
L
46
Full time
Zemplín Michalovce

Zemplín Michalovce

Away
D
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Zemplín Michalovce33%
Kisvarda FC33%
Draw33%
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
Kisvarda FC
33%
Draw
33%
Zemplín Michalovce
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Kisvarda FC
9
Zemplín Michalovce
9
Defence
Kisvarda FC
66
Zemplín Michalovce
91
Momentum
Kisvarda FC
0
Zemplín Michalovce
33
Danger (xG)
Kisvarda FC
0.00
Zemplín Michalovce
0.00
Both teams to score
No

The model projects 1.49 xG for Kisvarda FC and 1.05 xG for Zemplín Michalovce — meaningful and meaningful attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 1-1 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. The xG gap between the sides is narrow (0.44), meaning neither defence is expected to completely shut the other out.

Over 2.5 goals
No

The model projects a combined xG of 2.54 — elevated attacking volume. A combined xG below 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is unlikely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture falls below that threshold.The projected 1-1 scoreline stays under the 2.5-goal mark. The probability grid is dominated by scorelines of two goals or fewer, with the over 2.5 market requiring a result that sits outside the model's most likely outcomes.The defensive profiles of both sides are stronger than their attacking counterparts — Kisvarda FC's Defensive Stability (66) and Zemplín Michalovce's (91) both suggest teams capable of limiting the opposition. When both defences are this organised, the model expects a lower-scoring environment.

xG for (Kisvarda FC)
0.00
avg per match
xG for (Zemplín Michalovce)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Kisvarda FC)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Zemplín Michalovce)
0.00
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Kisvarda FCKisvarda FC
LL
Zemplín MichalovceZemplín Michalovce
DW

Probability breakdown

33% confidence
Kisvarda FC33%
Draw33%
Zemplín Michalovce33%

Zemplín Michalovce leads with 33% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Kisvarda FC Backed to Win — Model Projects 1-0

Kisvarda FC take on Zemplín Michalovce in Friendlies Clubs.

Key factors

: 🔄 Head-to-Head Pattern These sides have drawn 2 of their last 4 meetings, averaging 1.8 goals per game — a historically tight fixture pattern that aligns with the model's draw projection.

Why GoalVio backs this

The xG model projects 1.49 for Kisvarda FC and 1.05 for Zemplín Michalovce. The gap of 0.44 is not large enough to decisively separate the sides — neither team is creating chances at a level that justifies a clear winner projection.

Biggest risk: The draw projection is inherently fragile — a single moment of quality from either side could produce a winner. The model sees no clear favourite, which means the actual result is highly sensitive to in-game events and individual quality.

Risk factors

  • These sides have drawn 2 of their last 4 meetings — history suggests a tight, unpredictable contest.
  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.
  • The Poisson model works on averages — individual moments of quality can decide matches that data suggests should be close.

Recent form

Kisvarda FC

Kisvarda FC

L
vs Bukovyna
15 Jul 2026
01
L
vs Gyori ETO FC
16 May 2026
01
Zemplín Michalovce

Zemplín Michalovce

D
@ Kazincbarcikai
30 Jun 2026
00
W
@ Slovan Bratislava
16 May 2026
20

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Kisvarda FC vs Zemplín Michalovce?

GoalVio's model predicts Kisvarda FC to win with 33% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Kisvarda FC vs Zemplín Michalovce?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Kisvarda FC vs Zemplín Michalovce?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Kisvarda FC vs Zemplín Michalovce?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more