Kisvarda FCvs
Paks
COMPLETEDHungary · NB I · 9/19/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kisvarda FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 2-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kisvarda FC 0-1 Paks
Original prediction
Kisvarda FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.83 | 32.1% | 44.1% | 12.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.75 | 24.3% | 22.3% | -2.0 pts |
| Away | 2.08 | 43.6% | 33.7% | -10.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Kisvarda FC
Probability
44.1%
Model confidence
44.1%
Kisvarda FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80