Kisvarda FCvs
Ferencvarosi TC
COMPLETEDHungary · NB I · 10/18/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ferencvarosi TC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 0-1 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kisvarda FC 1-1 Ferencvarosi TC
Original prediction
Ferencvarosi TC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 18:35 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.42 | 16.7% | 27.1% | 10.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.28 | 21.2% | 26.1% | 4.9 pts |
| Away | 1.46 | 62.1% | 46.8% | -15.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.28 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-15.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.0–113%
Predicted outcome
Ferencvarosi TC
Probability
46.8%
Model confidence
46.8%
Ferencvarosi TC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80
GF 14 · GA 4 · avg 2.80/0.80