Kiryat Yam SCvs
Kafr Qasim
COMPLETEDIsrael · Liga Leumit · 10/16/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kiryat Yam SC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kiryat Yam SC 2-1 Kafr Qasim
Original prediction
Kiryat Yam SC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 00:27 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.74 | 51.4% | 49.5% | -1.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.62 | 24.8% | 22.9% | -1.9 pts |
| Away | 3.78 | 23.8% | 27.6% | 3.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.74 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–07%
Predicted outcome
Kiryat Yam SC
Probability
49.5%
Model confidence
49.5%
Kiryat Yam SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00