Kiryat Yam SCvs
Ironi Modi'in
COMPLETEDIsrael · Liga Leumit · 9/17/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kiryat Yam SC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kiryat Yam SC 3-2 Ironi Modi'in
Original prediction
Kiryat Yam SC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.65 | 54.2% | 50.6% | -3.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.73 | 23.9% | 22.9% | -1.0 pts |
| Away | 4.09 | 21.8% | 26.4% | 4.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.65 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Kiryat Yam SC
Probability
50.6%
Model confidence
50.6%
Kiryat Yam SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 10 · avg 3.00/2.00
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60