Kiryat Yam SCvs
Hapoel Kfar Saba
COMPLETEDIsrael · Liga Leumit · 10/1/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kiryat Yam SC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-1 (9%), 4-1 (8%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kiryat Yam SC 2-0 Hapoel Kfar Saba
Original prediction
Kiryat Yam SC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:41 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.67 | 53.8% | 66.3% | 12.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.93 | 22.9% | 17.2% | -5.7 pts |
| Away | 3.84 | 23.4% | 16.5% | -6.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.67 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–19%
- 2.4–18%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
Kiryat Yam SC
Probability
66.3%
Model confidence
66.3%
Kiryat Yam SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 10 · avg 3.00/2.00
GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40