GGOALVIO

Israel · Liga Leumit · 9/6/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kiryat Yam SC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (9%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Kiryat Yam SC 5-0 Hapoel Acre

Original prediction

Kiryat Yam SC

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.5358.3%55.8%-2.5 pts
Draw3.6924.2%23.2%-1.0 pts
Away5.1017.5%21.0%3.5 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.53 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-2.5 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.2–110%
  2. 2.1–19%
  3. 3.2–09%

Predicted outcome

Kiryat Yam SC

Probability

55.8%

Model confidence

55.8%

Kiryat Yam SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Kiryat Yam SCLLWLD

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Hapoel AcreLLLDD

GF 2 · GA 11 · avg 0.40/2.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Kiryat Yam SCHapoel Acre
88.9Attack0.0
33.3Defence0.0
33.3Form0.0
49.2Power8.4
2.46xG1.13
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