GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 9/29/2023, 5:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Erlbach · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Kirchheimer SC are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 3.80 conceded, while Erlbach are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Erlbach hold a 35.4-point power-rating edge (23.2 v 58.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 69.5% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Erlbach holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Erlbach

Probability

69.5%

Model confidence

69.5%

Erlbach has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Kirchheimer SCWLLLL

GF 7 · GA 19 · avg 1.40/3.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
ErlbachLWLLW

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Kirchheimer SCErlbach
37.3Attack46.7
9.8Defence73.3
14.7Form53.3
23.2Power58.6
0.87xG2.53
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