GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 8/18/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Erlbach · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Kirchanschöring are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWDLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Erlbach are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Erlbach hold a 19.7-point power-rating edge (41.9 v 61.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.3% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Erlbach holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Erlbach

Probability

46.0%

Model confidence

11.3%

Erlbach has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

KirchanschöringLWDLL

GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
ErlbachDWLWW

GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
KirchanschöringErlbach
58.3Attack50.0
25.0Defence75.0
33.3Form58.3
41.9Power61.6
1.40xG1.82
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