GGOALVIO

England · National League - North · 8/5/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hereford · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

King's Lynn Town are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (WDL), averaging 1.33 scored and 2.67 conceded, while Hereford are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 8 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Hereford hold a 21.7-point power-rating edge (31.3 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.4% in the National League - North, while Hereford holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hereford

Probability

35.4%

Model confidence

35.4%

Hereford has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

King's Lynn TownWDL

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 1.33/2.67

BTTS 3/3O2.5 2/3
HerefordWWLWW

GF 10 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
King's Lynn TownHereford
16.7Attack33.3
50.0Defence66.7
16.7Form50.0
31.3Power53.0
1.16xG1.26
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