King's Lynn Townvs
Buxton
COMPLETEDEngland · National League - North · 10/10/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
King's Lynn Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 3-1 (7%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
King's Lynn Town 1-0 Buxton
Original prediction
King's Lynn Town
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.73 | 33.4% | 52.1% | 18.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.53 | 25.8% | 19.7% | -6.1 pts |
| Away | 2.23 | 40.8% | 28.3% | -12.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.73 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
18.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–18%
- 2.3–17%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
King's Lynn Town
Probability
52.1%
Model confidence
52.1%
King's Lynn Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40