GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania NPL · 3/14/2026, 3:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kingborough Lions · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-0

Highconfidence

Kingborough Lions are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while South East Utd. are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 6 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Kingborough Lions hold a 42.0-point power-rating edge (74.6 v 32.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 88.8% in the Tasmania NPL, while Kingborough Lions holds the strongest overall chance at 89% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 86% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Kingborough Lions

Probability

88.8%

Model confidence

88.8%

Kingborough Lions has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Kingborough LionsWWWDD

GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
South East Utd.L

GF 1 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1
Kingborough LionsSouth East Utd.
91.2Attack48.1
68.4Defence5.6
75.4Form38.9
74.6Power32.7
4.50xG0.81
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