GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania NPL · 3/7/2026, 3:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kingborough Lions · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-0

Highconfidence

Kingborough Lions are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Riverside are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 3.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Kingborough Lions hold a 28.3-point power-rating edge (74.6 v 46.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 84.2% in the Tasmania NPL, while Kingborough Lions holds the strongest overall chance at 84% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 85% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Kingborough Lions

Probability

84.2%

Model confidence

84.2%

Kingborough Lions has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Kingborough LionsWWDDW

GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
RiversideLLLLW

GF 6 · GA 18 · avg 1.20/3.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Kingborough LionsRiverside
91.2Attack57.4
68.4Defence38.9
75.4Form44.4
74.6Power46.3
4.19xG0.99
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