Kingborough Lionsvs
Launceston City
COMPLETEDAustralia · Tasmania NPL · 5/2/2026, 4:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kingborough Lions · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1
Kingborough Lions are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Launceston City are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 4.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Kingborough Lions hold a 21.7-point power-rating edge (74.6 v 52.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 80.7% in the Tasmania NPL, while Kingborough Lions holds the strongest overall chance at 81% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 89% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Kingborough Lions
Probability
80.7%
Model confidence
80.7%
Kingborough Lions has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60
GF 21 · GA 5 · avg 4.20/1.00