GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania NPL · 4/21/2023, 10:15:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kingborough Lions · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-0

Highconfidence

Kingborough Lions are 2W-0D-2L in their last 4 (LWWL), averaging 3.75 scored and 2.50 conceded, while Glenorchy Knights are 3W-0D-1L in their last 4 (WWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.25 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 8 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Kingborough Lions hold a 35.6-point power-rating edge (74.6 v 39.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 89.1% in the Tasmania NPL, while Kingborough Lions holds the strongest overall chance at 89% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Kingborough Lions

Probability

89.1%

Model confidence

89.1%

Kingborough Lions has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Kingborough LionsLWWL

GF 15 · GA 10 · avg 3.75/2.50

BTTS 4/4O2.5 4/4
Glenorchy KnightsWWLW

GF 8 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/0.25

BTTS 0/4O2.5 1/4
Kingborough LionsGlenorchy Knights
91.2Attack42.6
68.4Defence38.9
75.4Form31.5
74.6Power39.0
4.29xG0.72
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