Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Křimice · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 3-1 (8%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Křimice 1-2 Teplice
Original prediction
Křimice
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 9.51 | 9.6% | 41.1% | 31.6 pts |
| Draw | 5.79 | 15.7% | 21.4% | 5.7 pts |
| Away | 1.21 | 74.8% | 37.5% | -37.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
31.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.3–18%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
Křimice
Probability
41.1%
Model confidence
41.1%
Křimice has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
KřimiceWWWWW
GF 14 · GA 2 · avg 2.80/0.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
TepliceLLDWW
GF 10 · GA 12 · avg 2.00/2.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
KřimiceTeplice
100.0Attack66.7
100.0Defence33.3
100.0Form50.0
96.0Power53.0
2.69xG1.44