GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Federal A · 3/22/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Kimberley Mar del Plata are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Villa Mitre are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Kimberley Mar del Plata hold a 3.6-point power-rating edge (57.4 v 53.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.3% in the Torneo Federal A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 12% BTTS chance and 5% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

53.4%

Model confidence

45.3%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Kimberley Mar del PlataLDDWW

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Villa MitreWLWDW

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Kimberley Mar del PlataVilla Mitre
31.5Attack28.1
79.6Defence80.7
53.7Form47.4
57.4Power53.8
0.46xG0.34
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