Kimberley Mar del Platavs
Alvarado
COMPLETEDArgentina · Torneo Federal A · 8/30/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Kimberley Mar del Plata 0-0 Alvarado, with an exact score probability of 39%.
Prediction record
Final result
Kimberley Mar del Plata 0-2 Alvarado
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.65 | 34.0% | 30.3% | -3.7 pts |
| Draw | 2.59 | 34.8% | 40.0% | 5.1 pts |
| Away | 2.90 | 31.1% | 29.7% | -1.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.1 pts
Projected Score
Kimberley Mar del Plata 0–0 Alvarado
Exact score probability: 39%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
40.0%
Model confidence
40.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Kimberley Mar del PlataLWLWD
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
AlvaradoDDWWD
GF 4 · GA 1 · avg 0.80/0.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Kimberley Mar del PlataAlvarado
33.3Attack38.3
78.3Defence86.7
53.3Form58.3
57.2Power61.5
0.48xG0.48