Kimberley Mar del Platavs
Alvarado
SCHEDULEDArgentina · Torneo Federal A · 8/30/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Kimberley Mar del Plata are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Alvarado are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Alvarado hold a 5.8-point power-rating edge (57.4 v 63.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.0% in the Torneo Federal A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 15% BTTS chance and 7% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
49.2%
Model confidence
39.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
GF 8 · GA 1 · avg 1.60/0.20