GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Federal A · 6/14/2026, 5:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Kimberley Mar del Plata are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWD), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Alvarado are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 0 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Alvarado hold a 5.8-point power-rating edge (57.4 v 63.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.0% in the Torneo Federal A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 15% BTTS chance and 7% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

49.2%

Model confidence

39.0%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Kimberley Mar del PlataLWDWD

GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 0.40/0.20

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
AlvaradoWDWWL

GF 7 · GA 1 · avg 1.40/0.20

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
Kimberley Mar del PlataAlvarado
31.5Attack40.7
79.6Defence87.0
53.7Form61.1
57.4Power63.2
0.45xG0.51
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