Kilwinning Rangersvs
Dalbeattie Star
COMPLETEDScotland · Football League - Lowland League · 10/17/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kilwinning Rangers · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 4-0 (14%), 5-0 (13%), 3-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kilwinning Rangers 4-0 Dalbeattie Star
Original prediction
Kilwinning Rangers
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 09:39 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.04 | 91.3% | 92.3% | 0.9 pts |
| Draw | 19.00 | 5.0% | 5.2% | 0.2 pts |
| Away | 26.00 | 3.6% | 2.5% | -1.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.04 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.4–014%
- 2.5–013%
- 3.3–012%
Predicted outcome
Kilwinning Rangers
Probability
92.3%
Model confidence
92.3%
Kilwinning Rangers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 5 · avg 3.00/1.00
GF 5 · GA 18 · avg 1.00/3.60