Kilmarnockvs
ST Mirren
COMPLETEDScotland · Premiership · 9/2/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
ST Mirren · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kilmarnock 0-1 ST Mirren
Original prediction
ST Mirren
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.78 | 33.7% | 28.0% | -5.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.47 | 27.0% | 25.5% | -1.5 pts |
| Away | 2.38 | 39.4% | 46.5% | 7.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.38 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–29%
Predicted outcome
ST Mirren
Probability
46.5%
Model confidence
46.5%
ST Mirren has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 15 · avg 1.40/3.00
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80