GGOALVIO

Scotland · Premiership · 8/5/2023, 4:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kilmarnock · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Kilmarnock are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Rangers are 1W-1D-2L in their last 4 (DLWL), averaging 1.50 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 9 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Rangers hold a 12.8-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.2% in the Premiership, while Kilmarnock holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Kilmarnock

Probability

38.2%

Model confidence

38.2%

Kilmarnock has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

KilmarnockWDWWL

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
RangersDLWL

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.50/2.00

BTTS 4/4O2.5 4/4
KilmarnockRangers
66.7Attack33.3
0.0Defence50.0
0.0Form16.7
23.7Power36.5
1.55xG1.39
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