Kilmarnockvs
Dundee Utd
COMPLETEDScotland · Premiership · 8/29/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kilmarnock · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kilmarnock 0-4 Dundee Utd
Original prediction
Kilmarnock
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:57 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.47 | 37.9% | 43.8% | 5.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.44 | 27.2% | 26.2% | -1.0 pts |
| Away | 2.68 | 34.9% | 30.0% | -4.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Kilmarnock
Probability
43.8%
Model confidence
43.8%
Kilmarnock has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20
GF 3 · GA 14 · avg 0.60/2.80