Kilmarnockvs
Cercle Brugge
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 7/25/2024, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Kilmarnock are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Cercle Brugge are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Cercle Brugge hold a 16.5-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.6% in the UEFA Europa League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
35.6%
Model confidence
35.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 16 · GA 5 · avg 3.20/1.00
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20