Kilmarnockvs
Ayr Utd
COMPLETEDScotland · League Cup · 8/14/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ayr Utd · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (10%), 1-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kilmarnock 3-2 Ayr Utd
Original prediction
Ayr Utd
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 10 August 2026 at 22:32 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.1-unified-aggregate-winner.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.1–210%
Predicted outcome
Ayr Utd
Probability
48.3%
Model confidence
13.2%
Ayr Utd has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
KilmarnockLLDWW
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Ayr UtdDWWWW
GF 10 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
KilmarnockAyr Utd
16.7Attack83.3
100.0Defence75.0
66.7Form100.0
64.8Power87.9
1.06xG1.60