GGOALVIO

Scotland · League Cup · 7/15/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kilmarnock · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Kilmarnock are 0W-1D-2L in their last 3 (LLD), averaging 0.00 scored and 0.67 conceded, while Annan Athletic are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 0.50 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 5 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Kilmarnock hold a 52.4-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 12.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.0% in the League Cup, while Kilmarnock holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Kilmarnock

Probability

54.0%

Model confidence

54.0%

Kilmarnock has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

KilmarnockLLD

GF 0 · GA 2 · avg 0.00/0.67

BTTS 0/3O2.5 0/3
Annan AthleticLL

GF 1 · GA 3 · avg 0.50/1.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
KilmarnockAnnan Athletic
16.7Attack16.7
100.0Defence0.0
66.7Form0.0
64.8Power12.4
2.02xG0.84
View match centre →