Killas Wvs
Sporting Cristal W
COMPLETEDPeru · Liga Women · 8/29/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sporting Cristal W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-4 (10%), 1-4 (10%), 0-5 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Killas W 0-4 Sporting Cristal W
Original prediction
Sporting Cristal W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:59 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 20.08 | 4.5% | 17.4% | 12.9 pts |
| Draw | 8.72 | 10.3% | 19.7% | 9.4 pts |
| Away | 1.06 | 85.2% | 63.0% | -22.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.06 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-22.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–410%
- 2.1–410%
- 3.0–59%
Predicted outcome
Sporting Cristal W
Probability
63.0%
Model confidence
63.0%
Sporting Cristal W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40