GGOALVIO

Peru · Liga Women · 5/21/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FBC Melgar W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3

Lowconfidence

Killas W are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, while FBC Melgar W are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and FBC Melgar W hold a 21.7-point power-rating edge (26.2 v 47.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.5% in the Liga Women, while FBC Melgar W holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 85% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FBC Melgar W

Probability

70.0%

Model confidence

8.5%

FBC Melgar W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Killas WLDLLD

GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
FBC Melgar WWWLLW

GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
Killas WFBC Melgar W
38.1Attack66.7
16.7Defence38.1
19.0Form47.6
26.2Power47.9
1.49xG3.42
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