GGOALVIO

Peru · Liga Women · 9/11/2026, 8:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Killas W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Killas W 3-1 Defensores W

Original prediction

Killas W

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.1042.3%41.7%-0.6 pts
Draw3.4425.7%27.2%1.4 pts
Away2.7732.0%31.1%-0.9 pts

Historical EV

1X2 1.09 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-0.6 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.2–19%
  2. 2.1–19%
  3. 3.2–27%

Predicted outcome

Killas W

Probability

41.7%

Model confidence

41.7%

Killas W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Killas WLLWLL

GF 2 · GA 11 · avg 0.40/2.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Defensores WWLLLL

GF 4 · GA 19 · avg 0.80/3.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Killas WDefensores W
35.3Attack33.3
19.6Defence0.0
21.6Form24.1
27.4Power20.8
2.21xG1.52
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