Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kiisto · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Kiisto are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 4.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Rops are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Rops hold a 27.7-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 51.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.3% in the Suomen Cup, while Kiisto holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Kiisto
Probability
40.0%
Model confidence
8.3%
Kiisto has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 23 · GA 8 · avg 4.60/1.60
GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20