Kifisiavs
Panetolikos
COMPLETEDGreece · Super League 1 · 10/11/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Panetolikos · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kifisia 2-0 Panetolikos
Original prediction
Panetolikos
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 03:42 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.86 | 50.0% | 35.4% | -14.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.36 | 27.7% | 27.6% | -0.1 pts |
| Away | 4.16 | 22.3% | 37.0% | 14.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
14.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Panetolikos
Probability
37.0%
Model confidence
37.0%
Panetolikos has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40