Kifisiavs
Panathinaikos
COMPLETEDGreece · Cup · 9/16/2026, 2:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Panathinaikos · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kifisia 0-2 Panathinaikos
Original prediction
Panathinaikos
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 2 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 6.31 | 14.5% | 33.4% | 18.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.94 | 23.2% | 26.2% | 3.0 pts |
| Away | 1.46 | 62.4% | 40.4% | -22.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.46 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-22.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Panathinaikos
Probability
40.4%
Model confidence
40.4%
Panathinaikos has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
GF 12 · GA 2 · avg 2.40/0.40