Kifisiavs
Aris Thessalonikis
COMPLETEDGreece · Super League 1 · 10/18/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kifisia · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kifisia 1-2 Aris Thessalonikis
Original prediction
Kifisia
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:22 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.97 | 31.3% | 41.5% | 10.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.32 | 28.1% | 26.6% | -1.4 pts |
| Away | 2.29 | 40.6% | 31.8% | -8.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.0–09%
Predicted outcome
Kifisia
Probability
41.5%
Model confidence
41.5%
Kifisia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00