Kifisiavs
AEK Athens FC
COMPLETEDGreece · Super League 1 · 8/30/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
AEK Athens FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (10%), 1-2 (10%), 1-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kifisia 1-1 AEK Athens FC
Original prediction
AEK Athens FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 9.14 | 10.2% | 20.1% | 9.9 pts |
| Draw | 5.09 | 18.3% | 23.3% | 4.9 pts |
| Away | 1.31 | 71.5% | 56.6% | -14.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 4.09 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-14.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–210%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.1–110%
Predicted outcome
AEK Athens FC
Probability
56.6%
Model confidence
56.6%
AEK Athens FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 11 · avg 2.20/2.20
GF 14 · GA 2 · avg 2.80/0.40