Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kiffen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Kiffen are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while PPJ are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Kiffen hold a 12.6-point power-rating edge (64.9 v 52.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.3% in the Kakkonen - Lohko A, while Kiffen holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Kiffen
Probability
55.2%
Model confidence
9.3%
Kiffen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
GF 15 · GA 6 · avg 3.00/1.20