Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kiffen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0
Kiffen are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.60 conceded, while MyPa are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Kiffen hold a 34.3-point power-rating edge (64.9 v 30.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.0% in the Kakkonen - Lohko A, while Kiffen holds the strongest overall chance at 85% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 80% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Kiffen
Probability
85.4%
Model confidence
11.0%
Kiffen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 13 · avg 2.00/2.60
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20