Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kiffen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
7%
LowconfidenceKiffen are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while HPS are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLWL), averaging 3.00 scored and 3.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and kiffen hold a 9.6-point power-rating edge (64.9 v 55.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely result in the Kakkonen - Lohko A, favouring Kiffen with 6.9% confidence, a 83% BTTS chance and 88% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Kiffen
Probability
58.7%
Model confidence
6.9%
Kiffen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
KiffenWDDWW
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
HPSDDLWL
GF 15 · GA 16 · avg 3.00/3.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
KiffenHPS
68.8Attack79.2
54.2Defence31.3
68.8Form52.1
64.9Power55.3
3.25xG2.00