GGOALVIO

Finland · Kakkonen - Lohko A · 9/12/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kiffen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 2-1 (7%), 3-1 (7%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Kiffen 1-0 HIFK Helsinki

Original prediction

Kiffen

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.5259.3%61.0%1.7 pts
Draw4.5020.0%17.0%-3.0 pts
Away4.3620.7%22.0%1.3 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.52 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

1.7 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.2–17%
  2. 2.3–17%
  3. 3.2–27%

Predicted outcome

Kiffen

Probability

61.0%

Model confidence

61.0%

Kiffen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

KiffenWLWWW

GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
HIFK HelsinkiLDWLL

GF 8 · GA 14 · avg 1.60/2.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
KiffenHIFK Helsinki
73.0Attack68.3
52.4Defence41.3
71.4Form49.2
66.3Power53.3
2.98xG1.77
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