Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kiffen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-2 (7%), 4-2 (7%), 3-1 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kiffen 2-1 Atlantis
Original prediction
Kiffen
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.78 | 50.5% | 58.1% | 7.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.18 | 21.6% | 16.9% | -4.6 pts |
| Away | 3.23 | 27.9% | 25.0% | -3.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.78 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–27%
- 2.4–27%
- 3.3–16%
Predicted outcome
Kiffen
Probability
58.1%
Model confidence
58.1%
Kiffen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
KiffenLWWWW
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
AtlantisDLWWW
GF 16 · GA 10 · avg 3.20/2.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
KiffenAtlantis
73.3Attack100.0
51.7Defence23.3
70.0Form55.0
65.5Power57.5
3.85xG2.39