Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kiffen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-2
Kiffen are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Atlantis are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLWL), averaging 2.80 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Kiffen hold an 8.8-point power-rating edge (64.9 v 56.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 6.9% in the Kakkonen - Lohko A, while Kiffen holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 87% BTTS chance and 92% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Kiffen
Probability
59.7%
Model confidence
6.9%
Kiffen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40
GF 14 · GA 12 · avg 2.80/2.40